new mexico drought forecast

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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration "It is definitely a better outlook than last year," meteorologist Andrew Church of the National Weather Service in Albuquerque said shortly after posting the "2020 Monsoon Outlook for Central and Northern New Mexico" on the agency's website on the afternoon of June 15. Since 2000, the longest duration of drought (D1-D4) in New Mexico lasted 329 weeks beginning on May 1, 2001 and ending on August 14, 2007. If La Niña conditions were to materialize during the September-October-November (SON) period, there is a 55% chance that they will continue through winter 2020-2021. https://publiclands.org/explore/index.php?plicstate=NM. Aviation Forecasts

Albuquerque NM 87106

All rights reserved. Louisiana: Glyphosate-Resistant Italian Ryegrass Management Severe to extreme drought conditions cover a good portion of northern and eastern New Mexico.

Hail up to the size of nickels was reported at the Route 66 Casino, while up to an inch and a half of rain fell across southern Albuquerque. NEW MEXICO (AP) – Large portions of New Mexico and much of neighboring Arizona face severe or extreme drought conditions.

A wild card for this outlook is the increased potential for a continued active Atlantic hurricane season.

Critics contend the well-pumping depletes the aquifer that would otherwise drain back into the river.

January - September 2016. The first three months of the water year, October through December, averaged 188 percent of normal (7th wettest on record) while January through March only averaged 44 percent of normal (11th driest on record)! Statewide precipitation for the October 2015 to March 2016 period averaged 126 percent of normal. Observed Precipitation FDX Cannon Air Force Base Radar, Forecasts Much of the West is expected to remain in drought, with some additional development likely in the Southwest during the SON season, as warm and dry conditions are favored for much of the West. DuBois said the situation is likely to improve even more as the models favor above-average precipitation and cooler temperatures over the next month. October 2015 - September 2016. Climate Prediction Center “We’re in a recovery phase,” he said, noting that almost every reservoir in the state is still below average because of the effects of long-term drought.

Activity Planner Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services Submit A Storm Report Louisiana: Winter Cover Crops- Benefits and Planning Strategies for Cover Crop Success.

In the Northeast, above-normal temperatures are favored during the SON period whereas there is an absence of a precipitation signal. In the Northern Plains and Midwest, drought removal (D1) and improvement (D2 and worse) are favored due to decreasing evapotranspiration rates during the Fall and climatologically wider-spread synoptic events. D’Antonio told lawmakers the case isn’t expected to go to trial until 2021 but that the discovery phase is in full swing as New Mexico prepares its models and expert reports. New Mexico Drought Map for July 14, 2020; New Mexico Drought Map for July 7, 2020; Drought Monitor Maps For Neighboring States and Provinces: Related New Mexico Maps: Drought Conditions for New Mexico Cities and Towns. The first 9 months of 2016 has averaged 88 percent of normal. Abnormal dryness (D0) is not expected to persist in Alaska due to the climatological southward shift of the storm track along the southern coast during the boreal Fall months.

The seasonal outlook below indicates the small area of drought near the Arizona border will likely remain through the remainder of the year, and drought development is likely across the northeast quarter of New Mexico.
For the now completed water year (October 2015 - September 2016), statewide precipitation was above normal, at 107 percent of normal. A plant named 'kochia' could help NM ranchers survive drought, changing climate, Farmers for Free Trade makes stop at Dixie Ranch to promote trade deal, Mayor talks about climate change in annual address, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Drought Surface Observations

For previous months of 2016 as well as a recap of the 2015 year, click here. DuBois shared the latest snow reports and precipitation data with lawmakers, while New Mexico’s top water manager, State Engineer John D’Antonio, testified on the status of reservoir levels around the state. Therefore, several synoptic-scale forcing mechanisms are considered in this forecast, in addition to the short-, medium-, and long-range model guidance and seasonal normals.

Drought Forecast. Below is a map of real-time streamflow compared to historical streamflow for the current day of the year. Therefore, slight improvements (D2) and drought removal (D1) are favored.